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Down Goes Arrakis

Since the release of ChatGPT last November, OpenAI hasnโ€™t taken many Lโ€™s.

ChatGPT became the fastest-growing consumer app of all time, GPT-4 came out in March, OpenAIโ€™s ARR hiked to $1.8B, and the company is now valued at a smooth $30B. Thatโ€™s a miraculous turnaround for a business that only pulled in $28M in revenue in all of 2022.

But it hasnโ€™t been all smooth sailing for OpenAI. Itโ€™s very expensive to train and operate AI models, in large part due to the AI chip demand surge they set off with ChatGPT. So, shortly after ChatGPT was released, OpenAI began training a new AI model designed to run the chatbot more efficiently.

That model was codenamed Arakis. The goal of Arakis was to use a concept known as sparsity to run more efficiently. Basically, instead of needing the whole model to answer prompts, sparsity enables the model to operate with just the parts of the model immediately needed. In theory, this leads to greater efficiency, and thus, lower costs and less need for chips.

It sounds great, except for one problem: it failed. And it failed for reasons that OpenAI still doesnโ€™t understand. So they pivoted to developing a version of GPT-4 designed to generate responses quicker.

But that doesnโ€™t mean sparsity isnโ€™t a thing anymore. Many researchers still see it as the future of AI models.

And with advancements like Anthropicโ€™s mechanistic interpretability breakthrough, it might not be too long until sparsity is a reality.

The Big Picture: With competition ramping up, OpenAI canโ€™t afford too many more Lโ€™s.

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